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The Bare Bones of Probability
How likely is it that an event will happen? Probabilities attempt to answer this question by assigning numbers to the likelihood of events. A probability is always a number between 0 and 1. The closer...
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The Bare Bones of Bayes’ Theorem
Thomas Bayes died over 200 years ago, but his legacy is still with us and provides some very useful insights into probability. What is his legacy? It is a probability formula that tells us how to...
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Lesson of the Monty Hall Problem
On the television game show Let’s Make a Deal, Monty Hall, the show’s best known host, used to present contestants with the following situation: the contestant would be presented with three doors...
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Probabilistic Miracles: Why Nothing in Nature is Physically Impossible
The physically impossible differs from the logically impossible. It’s logically impossible that 2 plus 2 equals 5 or that a bachelor is married. On the other hand, it’s physically impossible to build a...
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